Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction 6/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 14, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (38-30, 17-18 Away) split the series with the San Francisco Giants, defeated the Milwaukee Brewers, and lost to the Los Angeles Dodgers. In Game 1 against the Diamondbacks, the Padres succumbed to a 5-1 defeat. Stephen Kolek took the loss after allowing five runs (four earned) on seven hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 4.1 innings.

This year, the Padres average 4.12 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .246/.314/.373 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.46 ERA (6th) and 1.22 WHIP (10th). Gavin Sheets leads the Padres with a .251 batting average, 11 home runs, and 39 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Ryan Bergert, who is 1-0 in two starts this season, with a 1.26 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 14.1 innings.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks (35-34, 19-17 Home) swept the Atlanta Braves, were swept by the Cincinnati Reds, and then swept the Seattle Mariners before this series against the Padres. Arizona beat San Diego 5-1 in the opening game on Friday. Josh Naylor led the offense with two RBI, while Ryne Nelson got the win after allowing one run (no earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and one walk across 5.0 innings of work.

This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.09 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .255/.332/.449 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.70 ERA (24th) and 1.34 WHIP (22nd). Eugenio Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with a .230 batting average, 19 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.

Zac Gallen will take the mound for the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 4-8 record in 14 starts this year with a 5.15 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 80.1 innings.

Why the Padres will cover

• The Padres have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Padres’ last 10 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Padres’ last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (14).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.449).
• The Padres rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
• The Padres rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (507).

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I am not impressed with Zac Gallen this season, so I am backing the Padres to stay close and cover the run line. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Padres win. Gallen allowed 4+ runs in five of his previous six starts, and I am pretty sure the visitors will get to him. Ryan Bergert started just two games in his rookie season, but was impressive in each, allowing two runs in 10.1 innings. It’s not going to be easy against one of the best offensive teams in the MLB, but I think Bergert will do fine. Go with the Padres to cover the run line.