Houston Astros vs NY Yankees Prediction 4/26/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Luis Gil for the start here and Gil is 1-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gil is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Houston. Spencer Arrighetti will start here and is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s second career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 8-3 win over the Astros from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 18-9 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Rangers.

Yankees Win 8 In A Row

Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 28 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 21 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 22 hits with 3 doubles, 9 home runs and 17 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 24 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 19 hits with 5 doubles as well on the year.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of the Yankees in Saturday’s matchup to sit at 10-18 on the year. After this series, the Astros will take on the Baltimore Orioles at home.

Astros Looking To Avoid Sweep

Yordan Alvarez has 36 hits with 8 doubles, 11 home runs and 26 RBIs while Christian Walker has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 6 home runs and 19 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 27 hits with 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs and Carlos Correa has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 21 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 12 RBIs. Yainer Diaz also has 17 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 12 RBIs.

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: April 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 2.45
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-1

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight day games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Sunday games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 4.11
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Astros: 1-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight games.
• The Astros have lost each of their last six home games.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against the Astros have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last 13 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two day games.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 home games.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (36) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four day games.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Astros.
• Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.759) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (61).
• The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (6.04).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (133).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.10).

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I think that Arrighetti is due to get lit up here as this kind of effort is unsustainable from Arrighetti I’ve learned over his career so far. The Yankees are just flat out rolling right now and Houston’s not a team I’m trying to step in front of them with. Give me the Yankees.