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Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction 5/17/26 MLB Picks Today

Arizona Diamondbacks (21-23) vs. Colorado Rockies (18-28)
May 17, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 129 / Arizona Diamondbacks -156; Over/Under: 10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 17th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 18-28 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL West. They have a 9-12 home record and are coming off a 4-2 win against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Rangers and the Diamondbacks next.

The Rockies have a .248 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Mickey Moniak is the team’s best hitter with a .307 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 28. Mickey Moniak adds a team high 12 home runs.

Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 2-5 record, 6.55 ERA and 1.84 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 21-23 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL West. They have a 9-14 away record and are coming off a 4-2 loss against the Rockies. They will face the Dodgers and the Rockies next.

The Diamondbacks have a .237 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .338 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 30. Ildemaro Vargas adds a team high 7 home runs.

Michael Soroka (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.53 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: May 17, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 2-5      ERA: 6.55
  • Home Record: 1-2
  • Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 1-1

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road day games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Soroka      Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 3.53
  • Road Record: 2-1
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 0-2

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Rockies have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine day games against the Rockies following a loss.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 15 of their last 18 games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between the Diamondbacks and Rockies at Coors Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rockies’ last 10 day games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Michael Soroka’s last five road appearances as a starter.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Brenton Doyle has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rockies’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mickey Moniak ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.664) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in four of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Gabriel Moreno has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six appearances against the Rockies.
  • Michael Soroka has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Michael Soroka has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
  • Ildemaro Vargas ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.338) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.272).
  • The Rockies rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (84).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (12).
  • The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (84).

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction

The Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Diamondbacks and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Colorado.

In this Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -155 road favorites. The Dbacks have the pitching edge today as Michael Soroka goes up against Michael Lorenzen. Soroka has one earned run or less in three of his last four starts, while Lorenzen has 4+ earned runs in two of his last three starts. Arizona has the better offense this season and has been the most consistent of the two lately, as the Rockies have scored just two runs or less in four of their last six games. Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks ML

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