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Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (12-17) vs. LA Dodgers (20-10)
April 30, 2025 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -298 / Miami Marlins 240; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Cal Quantrill for the start, and Quantrill is 2-2 with a 7.83 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Quantrill is 0-4 with an 8.46 ERA and 13 strikeouts. Tony Gonsolin will make the start for the Dodgers here, his first start since August of 2023. In his career, Gonsolin is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA and 5 strikeouts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will be looking to pick something up after taking one on the chin in a 15-2 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday to fall to 12-17 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Athletics.

Marlins Lose 4th In A Row

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 33 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 6 stolen bases, while Graham Pauley has 5 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 27 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs, and 15 RBIs, but also leads the Marlins with 31 strikeouts so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a road loss.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against the Dodgers.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 15 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their beatdown win over the Marlins from Tuesday’s matchup. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

Dodgers Win 4th Straight

Shohei Ohtani has 32 hits, including 7 home runs, while Tommy Edman has 28 hits with 8 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 14 hits with 4 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 33 hits with 9 home runs, 8 doubles, and 31 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 8 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 5 doubles but also has the team lead with 34 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 4 home runs and 15 RBIs on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Marlins’ last seven games at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites.
  • Tony Gonsolin has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
  • Andy Pages has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Tony Gonsolin has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in 15 of the Dodgers’ last 16 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Teoscar Hernandez ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Dodgers’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I try not to always jump onto pitchers making their season debut midseason, especially arms like Gonsolin, who has had an even more extended layoff. However, the Marlins are sliding right now, and Gonsolin has the benefit of having an explosive Dodger batting lineup to back him up. Miami will have plenty of opportunities to provide betting value for us this season, but I just think this has blowout potential here. Give me the Dodgers.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: LA Dodgers -298

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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