NY Mets (39-23) vs. LA Dodgers (37-25)
June 5, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -142 / NY Mets 120; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 5, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (39-23, 15-16 Away) beat the Dodgers and White Sox before sweeping the Colorado Rockies at home. The Dodgers answered to New York’s Game 1 win in the current series, but the Mets took a 2-1 lead with a 6-1 victory on Wednesday. Pete Alonso led the team with two homers and five RBI, while Griffin Canning got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.
This season, the Mets average 4.44 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .243/.326/.410 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.83 ERA (1st) and 1.22 WHIP (12th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .290 batting average, 14 home runs, and 53 RBI this season.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Thursday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 4-2 record in 11 starts this year with a 2.69 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 63.2 innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (37-25, 22-11 Home) beat the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees to bounce back from a series defeat to the New York Mets. In a rematch, but here in L.A., the Dodgers are down 2-1 following last night’s 6-1 loss in Game 3. Tony Gonsolin took the loss after allowing three runs (two hits) on three hits with six strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.
This year, the Dodgers average 5.69 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .265/.341/.466 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.12 ERA (22nd) and 1.29 WHIP (17th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .278 batting average, ten home runs, and 42 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers is Landon Knack, who is 3-2 in six starts this season, with a 4.58 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 35.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last six home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.466).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (44).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (13).
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten encounters. This season, the Mets lead 4-2, and four of those six meetings went Under. I am going with another low-scoring affair here because of the pitching matchup. David Peterson hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last seven starts, including the one against the Mets, when he got the win and surrendered two runs in 7.2 innings. Landon Knack was also a starter in that game and allowed three runs (one earned) in 6.0 innings. I am backing both to have quality starts in this one. Go with Under.
