Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction 10/4/25 MLB Picks Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals meet Saturday in Game 1 NLDS MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Phillies Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a two-game sweep of the Reds. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .373 on the season, have a .440 OBP, and a .667 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Mookie Betts leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 6 hits and 3 RBI, while Teoscar Hernandez and Enrique Hernandez have combined for 8 hits and 7 RBI.

Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. This will be Ohtani’s postseason pitching debut. This will be Ohtani’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 96-66 on the year and play their first game since September 28. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .258 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 179 hits and 69 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 282 hits and 204 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 212 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his postseason career. Sanchez is 2-0 with a 4.01 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: October 4, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season: 13-5      ERA: 2.50
• Home Record: 6-0
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last five road games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shohei Ohtani      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 1-1      ERA: 2.87
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven games.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last four playoff games as favorites following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last nine playoff games after not playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six playoff games.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last six playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Dodgers.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one Double in each of the Dodgers’ last six games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1426).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

The Dodgers are worth a look for obvious reasons, and there’s a history of teams riding the wave of momentum in the wild card series. However, the Dodgers have lost 7 of the last 8 games Ohtani has pitched, which includes an 0-3 second in September. This will also be Ohtani’s playoff pitching debut. Sanchez has looked fantastic this season, which includes allowing 29 hits and 7 runs in his last 39.2 innings. In 97.2 road innings, Sanchez has a 1.94 ERA and .200 allowed batting average. I’m going to side with the Phillies to draw first blood.