Pittsburgh Pirates (10-16) vs. LA Dodgers (16-9)
April 25, 2025 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -205 / Pittsburgh Pirates 170; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 25, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates (10-16, 4-9 Away) beat the Washington Nationals and were swept by the Cleveland Guardians at home before winning two of three games against the Angels on the road. The Pirates failed to secure a series sweep for the first time this season as they fell short 4-3 to the Angels. Carmen Mlodzinski pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Chase Shugart took the loss.
This season, the Pirates average 3.58 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .223/.302/.341 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.86 ERA (12th) and 1.16 WHIP (6th). Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with a .256 batting average, seven home runs, and 13 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Paul Skenes, who is 2-2 in five starts this season, with a 2.87 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 31.1 innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (16-9, 10-2 Home) returned home from two series losses on the road to the Texas Rangers and Chicago Cubs. The Cubs beat them in two games and got revenge for the Tokyo series that opened the season. In the most recent 7-6 defeat to the Cubs, Teoscar Hernandez led the team with four RBI, while Ben Casparius pitched for 2.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on one hit with four strikeouts and no walks. Jack Dreyer took the loss.
This year, the Dodgers average 4.64 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .231/.311/.426 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 3.97 ERA (16th) and 1.30 WHIP (16th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .270 batting average, six home runs, and 22 RBI this season.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take the mound for the Dodgers on Friday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 3-1 record in five starts this year with a 0.93 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 29.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Pirates’ last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Pirates and Dodgers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games at Dodger Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Pirates and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.426).
- The Dodgers rank T26th in the league for steals this season (11).
- The Pirates rank 4th in the league for steals this season (31).
- The Pirates rank T5th in the league for triples this season (5).
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction
The Dodgers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last four. The teams are starting their best pitchers this season, and I don’t expect to see a lot of runs in the opening six innings. Yamamoto didn’t allow a single run in his last three starts (all quality starts), while Skenes allowed more than two runs only once in his five starts this year. Skenes allowed a .250 BA in 32 at-bats against the Dodgers in his career. We will not see plenty of runs or hits here, so make sure to back Under.
