
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction 4/27/25 MLB Picks Today
Pittsburgh Pirates (11-17) vs. LA Dodgers (17-10)
April 27, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -325 / Pittsburgh Pirates +260; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Bailey Falter for the start here, and Falter is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. In his career, Falter is 0-1 with a 10.13 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Dodgers. The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Tyler Glasnow here, and Glasnow is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Glasnow is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-4 loss at the hands of the Dodgers last time out to fall to 11-17 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will head home for a division series against the Chicago Cubs.
Pirates Looking To Win Rubber Match For Second Straight LA Series Win
Bryan Reynolds has a team-high 27 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs, and 14 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 36 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 8 home runs and 16 RBIs with 12 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 25 hits with 5 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham and Andrew McCutchen have each chipped in a pair of doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 12 RBIs and 3 stolen bases.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have won five of the Pirates’ last seven games.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Oneil Cruz ranks T1st in the league in Steals (12) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build on their win over the Pirates from Saturday’s clash to improve to 17-10 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will welcome the Miami Marlins to town for a series.
Dodgers Snap Three-Game Losing Skid
Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 28 hits, including 6 home runs, while Tommy Edman has 26 hits with a team-high 8 home runs and 19 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 14 hits with 4 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 27 hits with 7 home runs, 6 doubles, and 24 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 6 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 5 doubles but also has the team lead with 33 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 4 home runs and 11 RBIs on the year.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Enrique Hernandez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Andy Pages has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in 12 of the Dodgers’ last 13 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyler Glasnow has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Miguel Rojas has recorded a Single in each of his last seven home appearances against the Pirates.
- Tommy Edman ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Pirates’ last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Dodgers’ last five games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction
I’m on the Dodgers -1.5 here. I get the allure of a big underdog, and we’ve seen the Dodgers play kind of sloppy in a lot of their recent games. However, the Dodgers send out Tyler Glasnow, who has had a lot of success against his former team, and the knock early on with the Dodgers was that they were struggling against lefties. I don’t think that’s the case anymore, and Bailey Falter comes in having had a lot of issues in a small sample size in his career against the Dodgers. All in all, I just think the Dodgers overwhelm Falter here and get a big cover on the run line to win the series. Give me the Dodgers -1.5.