Giants vs Dodgers Prediction 7/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Giants vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 51-43 this year after they won two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 3-1, 4-3, and 0-13. In their game three loss, San Francisco only trailed 2-0 in the sixth inning, but they allowed 11 runs in the final four innings for the blowout loss. The Giants recorded just four hits in the game and they were led by Flores, who went 2-3 in the loss. San Francisco started Verlander, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Beck allowed six earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Giants won two out of three against the Athletics and split four games with the Diamondbacks. San Francisco has won six of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 388 runs with a .231 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 11 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Heliot Ramos has added 14 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 120.1 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-38 this season after they lost all three games against Milwaukee by scores of 1-9, 1-3, and 2-3. In their game three loss, Los Angeles led 2-1 in the seventh inning, but their bullpen blew the lead and they failed to score in the 10th for the loss. The Dodgers recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ohtani and Betts, who both had one RBI in the win. LA started Glasnow, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Scott blew the save and Yates picked up the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Dodgers lost all three games against the Astros, but did sweep the White Sox in three games before that. Los Angeles has lost six games in a row and they are currently first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 504 runs with a .257 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Shohei Ohtani has led LA with 31 home runs and 58 RBI’s, while Andy Pages has added 17 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Dustin May, who is 5-5 with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 89.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Dodgers will beat the Giants

• The underdogs have won each of the Dodgers’ last six games.
• The Giants have lost each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Giants following a loss.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Giants.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Giants.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Giants.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Giants’ last seven night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Dodgers and Giants.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Logan Webb has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Giants as favorites against NL opponents.
• Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.
• Patrick Bailey has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Giants as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Logan Webb ranks 5th in the league for total Strikeouts (133) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Michael Conforto has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Dustin May has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (81).
• The Giants rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (504).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (486).

Giants vs Dodgers Prediction 

San Francisco comes into this series trailing the Dodgers by five games in the NL West standings, so this is a big opportunity to gain ground on the struggling Dodgers. SF is 27-18 at home this year, while LA is 23-21 on the road. The Dodgers have scored a total of five runs in their last four games and they are starting May, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five outings. The Giants are starting Webb, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I do think San Francisco has the edge on the mound, but I am going to back LA and their offense to get the win.