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Giants vs Mets Prediction 4/3/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Mets (3-4) vs. San Francisco Giants (3-4)
April 3, 2026 10:15 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants 113 / NY Mets -136; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet Friday in MLB action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Giants vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs. Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 3-4 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Athletics next. The New York Mets are batting. 205 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and have a .331 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.02 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 10 hits and 5 RBI, while Luis Robert Jr. and Brett Baty have combined for 11 hits and 8 RBI.


Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s first career game against the San Francisco Giants.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 3-4 on the year and play the Phillies and Orioles next. The San Francisco Giants are batting .227 on the season, have a .289 OBP, and have a .332 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Luis Arraez leads the San Francisco Giants with 9 hits and 2 RBI while Rafael Devers and Matt Chapman have combined for 13 hits and 4 RBI.

Tyler Mahle gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Mahle is 0-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last 11 night games against the Giants following a loss.
  • The Giants have won each of their last 10 Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have covered the run line each of their last 10 Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Giants following a road loss.
  • The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have won the first inning in each of their last eight Friday night games.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine Friday night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last three games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday road games.
  • The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Mets’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Giants’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last eight Friday night games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last five games against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Arraez ranks T7th in the league in Steals (2) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Giants.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
  • Juan Soto ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Giants rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (4).
  • The Giants rank T4th in the league for triples this season (1).
  • The Mets rank 1st in the league for triples this season (3).
  • The Mets rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (32).

Giants vs Mets Prediction

The Mets and the cheap price are appealing considering they’re probably the better team here. However, the Giants have turned things around in recent days and the offense is going to only get better. Also, you can argue the Giants have the edge on the mound given the season Mahle had last year with the Rangers. We’re getting the Giants at home as an underdog. I’ll take the more favorable price with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Francisco Giants 113

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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