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Giants vs Mets Prediction 7-26-25 MLB Picks

NY Mets (60-44) vs. San Francisco Giants (54-50)
July 26, 2025 9:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -119 / NY Mets -102; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet Saturday in MLB action at Oracle Park. Here’s a Giants vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 60-44 on the year and play the Padres, Giants, and Guardians next. The New York Mets are batting .243 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .412 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 104 hits and 58 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 203 hits and 140 RBI.

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 6-4 with a 2.90 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the San Francisco Giants.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 54-50 on the year and play the Pirates, Mets, and Pirates next. The San Francisco Giants are batting .233 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Heliot Ramos leads the San Francisco Giants with 108 hits and 50 RBI while Jung Hoo Lee and Willy Adames have combined for 179 hits and 95 RBI.

Robbie Ray gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 9-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. Ray is 4-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road win.
  • The Giants have won five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in three of the Mets’ last four games at Oracle Park.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Mets and Giants.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Willy Adames has hit at least one home run in two of the Giants’ last three games as favorites.
  • Willy Adames has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

Giants vs Mets Prediction

You can make a case for the Giants with Ray on the mound, as he’s been dealing with a 2.92 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. The problem is the Giants are heading in the wrong direction and the offense has been riding the struggle bus. The Mets have found their form with five straight wins, and they’re tough to bet against when they get rolling. Peterson has allowed two earned runs in his last 19.2 innings. The Mets are back and we’re getting a cheap price. I’m riding the hot hand with the Mets.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Mets -102

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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