Guardians vs Tigers Prediction 7/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Guardians vs Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Guardians vs Tigers Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 53-34 on the year and play the Rays and Mariners next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .256 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .428 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 97 hits and 69 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Zach McKinstry have combined for 154 hits and 70 RBI.

Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 8-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Mize is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 40-46 on the year and play the Astros and White Sox next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .225 on the season, have a .297 OBP, and a .364 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians’ pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 96 hits and 26 RBI while Jose Ramirez and Carlos Santana have combined for 162 hits and 77 RBI.

Logan Allen gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 5-6 with a 4.27 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Allen is 0-2 with a 9.75 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last 10 Saturday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Saturday games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road night games.
• The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Guardians have lost each of their last eight games.
• The Tigers have won each of their last eight games as road favorites against the Guardians following a win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Guardians’ last 12 games.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Progressive Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Jose Ramirez ranks T9th in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Zach McKinstry has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games against the Guardians.
• Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Hits (97) this season.

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction

The Guardians are fading material as they’ve lost eight straight games and have scored two or fewer runs in six of those games. I have no use for the Guardians until they get their act together. Allen has also been hirable this season with a 4.27 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, and he’s allowing a .266 batting average at home. Mize is an all-star caliber pitcher this year with a 2.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, and he’s allowed 30 hits and nine earned runs in his last 27.2 innings. Give me the Tigers.