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Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 8-18-24 MLB Picks

Chicago White Sox (30-94) vs. Houston Astros (66-56)
August 18, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -417 / Chicago White Sox +325; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 18th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 66-56 this year and they have won nine of their last ten games. Houston lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 6-1. Prior to this series, the Astros swept the Rays in three games, swept the Red Sox, and won two out of three against the Rangers. Houston is 11-4 in their last 15 games and they are first in the AL West standings. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 563 runs with a .261 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .306 with 25 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Astros this season. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 30-94 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Chicago won game one in this series by a sore of 5-4, but they dropped game two. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost both games against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Chicago is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 388 runs with a .220 batting average and a .279 opponent batting average. Andrew Vaughn is batting .244 with 14 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 12-5 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this year. Valdez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ky Bush, who is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA and a 2.31 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this season. Bush has allowed five earned runs, eight hits, and 12 walks in two starts this year. 

Why the Astros will beat the White Sox

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last 12 day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Astros have won each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Sunday games.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the last eight games between the White Sox and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the White Sox’s last four road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 appearances with the Astros as favorites against the White Sox.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances with the Astros as favorites.
  • Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last nine games against the White Sox.
  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Astros against AL opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Benintendi has recorded a Double in four of the White Sox’s last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in four of the White Sox’s last five games at Minute Maid Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andrew Benintendi has scored a run in each of the White Sox’s last four day games.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one Single in seven of the White Sox’s last eight games at Minute Maid Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has hit at least one home run in three of the White Sox’s last four road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 

Houston was able to bounce back from that bad loss in game one with a win in game two, and they are huge favorites in this matchup once again. The Astros are 33-27 at home this season, while the White Sox are just 12-50 on the road. Houston has a huge advantage with Valdez on the mound, as Bush has walked way too many batters in limited action this year. I really don’t love this game, but I would lay the run line with the Astros once again. My Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox prediction is for Houston to win by at least three runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Astros -2.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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