Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-17-24 Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Freddy Peralta for the start here and Peralta is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Peralta’s second career start against Houston. Hunter Brown will get the start for the Astros and is 0-4 with a 7.79 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s first career start against the Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this series looking to build on another series win after their 10-2 win over Pittsburgh in Wednesday’s series finale, giving Milwaukee another series W after knocking off the Cardinals the series prior.

Brewers Starting To Cook At The Plate

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 61 hits including 13 doubles and 34 RBIs along with 6 home runs and a .434 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has a team-high 9 home runs with 27 RBIs and Willy Adames has 7 home runs and 29 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 16 stolen bases while Adames, Blake Perkins and Jackson Chourio each have a team-high 39 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday home games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this set looking to build on their four-game sweep of the A’s following their 8-1 win in Thursday’s series finale, giving the Astros back-to-back series wins after knocking off the Tigers last weekend.

Astros Heating Up

Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 55 hits and a .313 batting average with 7 home runs and 10 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 13 homers with 10 doubles and 29 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 8 homers with 20 RBIs while Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 7 stolen bases so far this season.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last five games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Brewers at Minute Maid Park.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.

Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. The Astros winning back-to-back series is nice, but I’m still holding off on really trusting this team. Maybe I’ll miss the boat and jump on at the wrong time, but I’ve been burned time and time again by the Astros this season that I’m always looking over my shoulder with them. The Brewers have been consistent all year long and have really been hitting right-handed pitching well this season. I just can’t get there with Hunter Brown as he was expected to be the next big thing in this Houston rotation and unfortunately for him, he’s just been getting roughed up this season more often than not. Maybe at a certain point he will turn the corner, but just like the lineup behind him, I’ll believe it when I see it. Give me the Brew Crew here.