Astros vs Nationals Prediction 7-28-25 MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and the Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Astros vs Nationals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will start Brad Lord here and Lord is 2-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Lord’s first career start against the Astros. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros here and is 11-4 with a 2.67 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. In his career, Valdez is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over the Minnesota Twins last time out to improve to 43-62 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Nationals Win Back-To-Back Games & 4 Of Their Last 6

Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 103 hits with 21 doubles and a team-high 24 home runs along with 70 RBIs and 14 stolen bases while also putting up 134 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 89 hits with 15 doubles and 62 RBIs along with 15 home runs and 119 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 14 home runs and 41 RBIs along with 23 doubles and 23 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 22 doubles and 9 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The road team has won each of the Astros’ last eight games.
• The Astros have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last 10 games at Daikin Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Luis Garcia has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to rebound from their 7-1 loss at the hands of the Athletics last time out to sit at 60-46 on the year. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Red Sox.

Astros Drop Four In A Row

Jose Altuve has 109 hits including 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 53 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 102 hits with 18 doubles, 11 homers and 40 RBIs with 15 stolen bases as well. Jake Meyers has 15 doubles as well and Christian Walker has 13 home runs and 53 RBIs but has also accrued a team-high 115 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases while Jake Meyers has 14 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 19 home runs with 50 RBIs of his own and Cam Smith has contributed 7 homers and 43 RBIs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have lost 16 of their last 18 night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 18 night games against American League opponents following a road win.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 22 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Framber Valdez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Brendan Rodgers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Nationals.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of the Astros’ last three home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Nationals.
• Framber Valdez ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last six road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Astros vs Nationals Prediction

I don’t love this game, but I’m leaning towards the Astros here. I think this is a decent bounce back spot for the Astros as I don’t see Brad Lord as a pitcher that’s going toe-to-toe with Framber Valdez in a full-out duel. Furthermore, I think the Astros can get a bounce back win here to get the train pointed back in the right direction, and the Nationals have a bit of a comeback down to earth moment after their series win. Give me Houston.