Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 7-28-24 Picks
Chicago Cubs (49-56) vs. Kansas City Royals (57-47)
July 28, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -164 / Chicago Cubs +139; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 28th at Kaufmann Stadium.
Royals Looked Bad on Saturday
The Royals have played well this season, but they really didn’t look good on Saturday. The Royals scored four runs, but the pitching was a problem, giving up nine runs. Hunter Renfroe hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. The Royals are averaging 4.64 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.88 runs per game. The Royals’ offense is ranked 11th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 4th. Getting the start for the Royals here will be Cole Ragans who sits with a 7-6 record and an ERA of 3.23. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went six innings giving up six hits and three runs.
Cubs Offense Impressed
The Cubs’ offense sure impressed on Saturday, putting up nine runs on the way to the five run victory. Patrick Wisdom hit a home run and drove in four RBIs. The Cubs are averaging 4.04 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.19 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 12th. They have a run differential of -0.15 and if they want to turn around this season, that is going to need to be better. Getting the start for the Cubs will be Javier Assad, who sits with a 4-3 record and an ERA of 3.15. In his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, he went 3.1 innings, giving up one hit and zero runs.
Why the Cubs Will Beat the Royals
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have won 21 of their last 23 games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 16 of their last 18 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
Why the Cubs Will Beat the Royals
- The underdogs have won four of the Cubs’ last five games.
- The Royals have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
The Cubs won on Saturday, but it’s a true toss up who’s going to come out with a victory in this game. Ragans and Assad have both been good this season, and both offenses are going to really struggle to get going here. Ragans sits with a 3.23 and the Cubs’ offense is going to struggle here. Assad is also going to step up, and this game is going to end up staying under the total.