Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 18th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 82-70 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Kansas City has dropped the first two games in this series and only scored one run in game two. Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and swept the Twins. Kansas City is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 716 runs with a .253 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .331 with 32 home runs and 108 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 79-73 this year and they have won three games in a row. Detroit has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-6 and 3-1. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Orioles, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Detroit is 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Tigers’ offense has scored 645 runs with a .235 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .263 with 23 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 16-4 with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 180.0 innings pitched this year. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Alec Marsh, who is 8-8 with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 121.1 innings pitched this season. Marsh has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Royals

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have lost four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Tigers following a loss.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last seven games after going to extra innings has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Royals’ last eight home games following an extra-innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three games as home underdogs.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last five Wednesday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Maikel Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last five games as underdogs against the Tigers.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals’ last 10 Wednesday night games.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 Wednesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last five Wednesday night appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games as road favorites.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances.
• Matt Vierling has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Tigers’ last seven Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Tigers’ last 13 road games.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 16 road games.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game with all sorts of momentum and they are looking for their third straight win over KC here. The Tigers are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now and they are hunting the Twins and Royals for a wild card spot. Detroit is 40-37 on the road this year, while KC is 45-32 at home. Detroit will have Tarik Skubal on the mound, who has been one of the best in baseball and has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts. I know Marsh has pitched better lately, but I am not going against this Detroit team with Skubal on the mound. Take the Tigers here.