LA Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will start Brandon Pfaadt here and Pfaadt is 2-1 with a 4.84 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Yoshinobu Yamamoto will start here for the Dodgers and is 9-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to add on to their 9-3 win over the Dodgers last time out to sit at 47-47 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head home for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Diamondbacks Win Back-To-Back Games

Going into Friday, Corbin Carroll has 87 hits including 19 doubles, 10 triples, 13 home runs and 45 RBIs. Ketel Marte has 94 hits with 19 doubles, 17 home runs and 54 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 77 hits, with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs as well this season. Nolan Arenado also has 73 hits with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 RBIs and Jose Fernandez has 42 hits with 3 home runs and 15 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 69 hits with 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of Arizona on Friday to sit at 61-34 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.

Dodgers Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 In A Row

Entering Friday, Andy Pages has 94 hits with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 64 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 54 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 36 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 94 hits with 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 56 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 102 hits with 23 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 49 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 76 hits with 14 doubles, 17 home runs and 40 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 79 hits with 17 doubles, 7 home runs and 47 RBIs this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: July 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto      Record this season: 9-5      ERA: 2.49
• Home Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 13 night games following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Saturday games.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 4.84
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-0

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Dodgers following a win.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Fifteen of the Diamondbacks’ last 18 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Dodgers’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Brandon Pfaadt’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s seven previous appearances as a starter against the Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Andy Pages has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last 10 games against the Diamondbacks.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.403) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Pfaadt has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Tim Tawa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.264).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).
• The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (643).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (85).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers in this one. I got the short end of the stick with Ohtani being scratched from his start on Friday, but I’m expecting Yamamoto to go here and I think Yamamoto delivers a strong outing in this game. Brandon Pfaadt has been solid since returning from injury, but in the end I’m still not expecting much from him and I think the Dodgers take care of business and exact some revenge. Give me Los Angeles -1.5.