Cincinnati Reds (18-25) vs. LA Dodgers (29-16)
May 17, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -189 / Cincinnati Reds +159; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and LA Dodgers meet Friday in MLB game 2 action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 19-25 on the year after losses to the Giants and Diamondbacks. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 43 hits and 22 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario have combined for 68 hits and 46 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers are 29-17 on the year after beating the Padres and Giants. The LA Dodgers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The LA Dodgers have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring more than 1 run. Shohei Ohtani leads the LA Dodgers with 63 hits and 30 RBI, while Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman have combined for 111 hits and 52 RBI.
Cincinnati Reds vs LA Dodgers Pitching Matchup
Frankie Montas gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Montas has allowed 11 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 10.2 innings. Montas has a 7.30 ERA and .300 allowed batting average in 12.1 road innings. Montas is 0-2 with a 16.20 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.
James Paxton gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Paxton has allowed 9 hits and 1 run in his last 12.2 innings. Paxton has a 2.16 ERA and .214 allowed batting average in 16.2 home innings. This will be Paxton’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games at Dodger Stadium.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games following a road win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Mookie Betts has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Dodgers’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- James Paxton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Reds.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- James Paxton has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Jason Heyward has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.360) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Reds’ last eight night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four games at Dodger Stadium.
- Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last seven games against the Dodgers.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in four of the Reds’ last five road games against NL West opponents.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (239).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (408).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (79).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.220).
LA Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds have had issues stringing wins together this season, and the Dodgers aren’t the team you take advantage of. Frankie Montas is still working his way back into consistent reps, and he’s been hittable this season. The LA Dodgers haven’t allowed losses to linger, and James Paxton has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, with an ERA well under 3 and a 2.16 ERA at Dodger Stadium. Give me the Dodgers and the RL for max betting value. The Reds have to prove they’ve turned the corner, and one win doesn’t move the needle much.
