MLB Picks

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction 7-23-25 MLB Picks

Minnesota Twins (49-52) vs. LA Dodgers (59-43)
July 23, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -243 / Minnesota Twins +195; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dodgers vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack for the start here, and Paddack is 3-9 with a 5.14 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Paddack is 1-3 with a 7.25 ERA and 18 strikeouts. Tyler Glasnow will get the nod for the Dodgers here and is 1-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. In his career, Glasnow is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 22 strikeouts against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their 10-7 win over the Dodgers in Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 49-52 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Twins Looking For Consistency

Byron Buxton has 92 hits along with 14 doubles, a team-high 23 home runs, and 58 RBIs with 17 stolen bases and 4 triples while Carlos Correa has 85 hits with 19 doubles, and Willi Castro has 71 hits with 14 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Buxton contributed a team-high 92 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 83 hits, 18 doubles, 6 home runs, and 43 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 83 hits with 15 doubles, 13 home runs, and 42 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Dodgers’ last five games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Dodgers.
  • Byron Buxton ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.577) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Twins on Tuesday to slip to 59-43 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Dodgers Drop 4 Of Their Last 5 Games

Shohei Ohtani has 107 hits, including 12 doubles, 36 home runs, 69 RBIs, and 7 triples, while Tommy Edman has 62 hits with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 51 hits with 13 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 76 hits with 14 home runs, 19 doubles, and 58 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 13 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 69 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 11 home runs and 45 RBIs on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 97 hits with a team-high 27 doubles, 10 home runs, and 49 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 105 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs, and 63 RBIs this season.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last six day games following a road win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following a road win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against the Twins.
  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Dodgers’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins at hefty plus money, as usually there’s a premium to be paid when backing Tyler Glasnow just based on name brand. That being said, the Twins sending out Chris Paddack for the start likely does more harm than good at this point, and I think the Dodgers do enough to get the win in this one. Give me Los Angeles here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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