LA Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/28/26 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Luis Castillo for the start here and Castillo is 3-9 with a 4.85 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-3 loss at the hands of the Texas Rangers last time out to sit at 52-55 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head home for a set against the Minnesota Twins.

Mariners Lose 5 Of Last 6

Luke Raley has 15 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 99 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 103 hits with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 101 hits with 8 home runs and 37 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 96 hits with 16 doubles, 15 home runs and 45 RBIs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-3 loss at the hands of the New York Mets last time out to sit at 67-39 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will take on the Boston Red Sox in a series at home.

Dodgers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Andy Pages has 106 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 69 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 63 hits with 11 doubles, 8 home runs and 37 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 105 hits with 19 doubles, 22 home runs and 61 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 117 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 82 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 48 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 85 hits with 18 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs this season.

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: July 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Wrobleski      Record this season: 11-2      ERA: 2.62
• Home Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 12 games against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last eight games against the Dodgers following a loss.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Dodgers following a loss.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last four games.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo      Record this season: 3-9      ERA: 4.85
• Road Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 3-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Mariners’ last six games.
• The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Mariners’ last six games.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mariners’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Dodgers’ last five games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Mariners’ last nine night games against NL West opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of Eric Lauer’s last seven home appearances as a starter.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five home games against the Mariners.
• Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL West opponents.
• Justin Wrobleski has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Justin Wrobleski has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
• Freddie Freeman is one of only five players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cole Young has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against NL West opponents.
• Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his 13 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
• Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (130).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (130).

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers in this one. Seattle’s offense is in a tailspin right now and is really hard to get behind no matter who the Dodgers are sending out right now. Luis Castillo has been one of the least trustworthy starting pitching options for the Mariners this season and having to deal with a potent Dodgers offense is the last thing anyone would want to deal with in this situation. Give me the Dodgers -1.5.