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Mariners vs Marlins Prediction 4/25/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (11-13) vs. Seattle Mariners (14-11)
April 25, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -258 / Miami Marlins 210; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 25th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 14-11 this year after they won two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 3-8, 8-5, and 4-3. In their win on Thursday, Seattle scored four runs in the first two innings and was able to barely hang on for the win in the later innings. The Mariners recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Garver, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Seattle started Woo, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings in the win, while Munoz got the save in the ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Reds. Seattle has won four of their last five games and they are currently tied for first in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 113 runs with a .229 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with nine home runs and 16 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added four home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 11-13 this season after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 6-3, 4-3, and 2-5. In their game three loss, Miami took a 2-1 lead in the first inning, but failed to score over the last eight innings in the loss. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Mervis, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings in the loss, while Veneziano and Soriano both allowed one earned run out of the bullpen. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Diamondbacks. Miami has won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 106 runs with a .260 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Matt Mervis has led Miami with seven home runs and 14 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 1-2 with an 8.31 ERA and a 2.08 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Marlins’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Mariners’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 12 games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four games against NL opponents.
  • Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three home games.
  • Luke Raley has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Victor Robles has recorded a hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in three of the Marlins’ last four games.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction 

Seattle comes into this series with plenty of momentum and their offense is playing at a very high level right now. The Mariners have scored eight runs in three of their last five games and they are 8-5 at home. Miami is just 3-5 on the road this year, but they have won three of their last four game overall. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed at least six earned runs in two of his four starts this year. Seattle is going with Gilbert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Take the Mariners to win by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mariners -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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