Mariners vs Rangers Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 11, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (9-4, 3-3 Away) managed to salvage a series against the Chicago Cubs with a 6-2 win following a pair of defeats. Prior to that series, the Rangers beat the Red Sox and Reds and swept the Rays. In the aforementioned victory over the Cubs, Cory Seager blasted a couple of homers, while Jonah Heim added one. Tyler Mahle secured a win after allowing one run on two hits with four strikeouts and one walk in 7.0 innings of work.

This season, the Rangers average 3.46 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .207/.269/.367 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.47 ERA (9th) and 1.14 WHIP (6th). Jonah Heim leads the Rangers with a .310 batting average, three home runs, and seven RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Jacob deGrom, who has a 0-0 record in two starts this year with a 3.38 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 10.2 innings.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (5-8, 5-5 Home) bounced back from getting swept by the Giants with the series win over the Houston Astros. They opened the season with a series split against the Athletics and a loss to the Tigers. Seattle beat Houston 7-6 in the latest game after coming from 5-0 behind; Randy Arozarena was a hero with five RBI. Luis F. Castillo pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and five walks. Casey Lawrence was credited with the win.

This year, the Mariners average 3.38 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .200/.303/.333 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (15th) and 1.35 WHIP (23rd). Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with a .370 batting average, two home runs, and ten RBI this season.

Bryce Miller will take the mound for the Mariners on Friday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 0-2 record in two starts this year with a 5.73 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 11.0 innings of work.

Why the Rangers will beat the Mariners

• The Rangers have won each of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games following a win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games at T-Mobile Park following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers’ last 10 night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last three games between the Rangers and Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last nine games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (56).
• The Mariners rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.200).
• The Rangers rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
• The Rangers rank T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (9).

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction

The Mariners won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. I am going with the Rangers simply because of the pitching matchup and deGrom’s clear advantage. Jacob deGrom allowed only two RBI (both solo homers to Mitch Garver) in 32 at-bats against the Mariners’ batters. Miller, on the other hand, allowed a .316 BA with four homers and eight RBI in 57 at-bats against the Rangers. Miller let seven runs in the first two starts, and I think he will allow three or four here, which should be enough for Texas to win.