Mariners vs White Sox Prediction 8/7/25 MLB Picks Today
Chicago White Sox (42-72) vs. Seattle Mariners (62-53)
August 7, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners / Chicago White Sox; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Mariners vs White Sox Prediction. This article will include a Mariners vs White Sox Pick.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox are 42-72 on the year and play the Guardians, Tigers, and Royals next. The Chicago White Sox are batting .229 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .369 slugging percentage. The Chicago White Sox pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the Chicago White Sox with 97 hits and 45 RBI, while Miguel Vargas and Chase Meidroth have combined for 168 hits and 59 RBI.
Shane Smith gets the ball for the Chicago White Sox, and he is 3-7 with a 4.25 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s second career game against the Seattle Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 62-53 on the year and play the Orioles, Mets, and Phillies next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .244 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .412 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 120 hits and 62 RBI while J.P. Crawford and Cal Raleigh have combined for 216 hits and 134 RBI.
Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-4 with a 3.45 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Gilbert is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago White Sox.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The White Sox have lost each of their last seven games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Mariners following a road loss.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in 14 of their last 16 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The White Sox have won eight of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The Mariners have lost six of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
- The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents.
- The White Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Victor Robles has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (42) this season.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four road games against the Mariners.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Luis Robert ranks T5th in the league in Steals (30) this season.
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction
As I’ve said countless times this season, I’m not in the business of backing the White Sox. It doesn’t change here, especially with Smith on the mound, a pitcher who has allowed 15 hits and 15 runs in his last 16.1 innings. The Mariners are having a nice couple of weeks and Gilbert has a 2.27 ERA and .144 allowed batting average in 47.2 home innings. Gilbert has a 0.98 WHIP on the season. The Mariners have to be the play here, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.