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Marlins vs Athletics Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks Today

Athletics (18-15) vs. Miami Marlins (12-19)
May 3, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -122 / Athletics +102; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Athletics and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Athletics Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Athletics will send out Osvaldo Bido for the start here, and Bido is 2-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bido is 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Miami. The Miami Marlins will trot out Max Meyer for the start here, and Meyer is 2-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s first career start against the Athletics.


Athletics Recap

The Athletics will be out to build on their series-opening 6-1 win over the Marlins from Friday’s series opener to improve to 18-15 on the year. After this series, the Athletics will head home to take on the Seattle Mariners in a division series.

Athletics Win Three Straight & 8 Of Last 10

Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 39 hits, 6 doubles, and a .331 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom has 35 hits with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs this season. Brent Rooker has 32 hits with 8 home runs and 17 RBIs, but also has a team-high 37 strikeouts this season, while Max Muncy has 21 strikeouts. Lawrence Butler also chipped in 5 stolen bases and 6 doubles as part of his 30 hits.

Why the Athletics will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Athletics have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 17 games as home favorites following a loss.
  • The Athletics have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of the Athletics’ last two road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded a Double in three of the Athletics’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • JJ Bleday has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Seth Brown has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler Soderstrom ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will be out to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Athletics in Friday’s series opener, falling to 12-19 on the year as a result. After this series, the Marlins will be taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a rematch series at home.

Marlins Drop Six In A Row

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 33 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 6 stolen bases, while Graham Pauley has 5 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 31 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs, and 19 RBIs, but also leads the Marlins with 31 strikeouts so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Athletics have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have won each of their last four games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a win.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in six of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.320) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Athletics’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Marlins vs Athletics Prediction

I’m siding with the Athletics here. I just feel like the Athletics are in better form right now, and the Marlins are just in a free fall at the moment. Meyer is arguably Miami’s staff ace so far this season, but I can’t help but feel like even for being an ace, there’s still going to be a lot of games where he and the team fall flat. Right now, the Marlins just look like they’re in one of those funks. I’ll roll with the Athletics on the road for another W on Saturday.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Athletics +102

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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