Rangers vs Mariners Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rangers vs Mariners Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Luis Castillo for the start here and Castillo is 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rangers, Castillo is 2-3 with a 4.05 ERA and 32 strikeouts. Patrick Corbin will get the start for the Rangers and is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to build off of their series-opening 13-1 win over the Rangers from Friday’s matchup, improving to 19-12 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.

Mariners Win Five In A Row

Jorge Polanco has 28 hits, including 9 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Cal Raleigh has 27 hits with 6 doubles, a team-high 10 home runs, and 18 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 22 hits with 6 doubles, 5 home runs, 18 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 25 hits with a pair of triples, 4 home runs, 14 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 6 homers and 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last seven games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last 12 Saturday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL West opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last five games against the Rangers.
• Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against the Rangers.
• Luis Castillo has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last six games against the Rangers.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Victor Robles has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Mariners as road favorites.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers will be able to bounce back from a beatdown loss at the hands of the Seattle Mariners in Friday’s opener to slip to 16-17 on the year. After this series, the Rangers will go out on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Rangers Lose Three Straight, 6 Of 7 and 8 Of Last 10

Corey Seager leads the Rangers with 22 hits, including 4 home runs and 6 RBIs, while Adolis Garcia has 24 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs, 15 RBIs, and 4 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 24 hits with 5 doubles, while Wyatt Langford has 6 home runs, 12 RBIs, and 4 stolen bases, and Jonah Heim has 4 homers and 9 RBIs. Leody Taveras also has a team-high 6 stolen bases this year.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Mariners have lost eight of their last 14 games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents .
• Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances.
• Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Rangers as home underdogs.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Fourteen of the Rangers’ last 16 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Mariners here. Until the Rangers show us that they can get themselves out of this nosedive they’ve been in offensively for the better part of the last couple of weeks. It’s going to be hard to give Texas the benefit of the doubt. Regardless of who Texas is sending out for the start. I’ll admit that Corbin has been better for the Rangers than I thought he would be so far this year, but last time I checked, to win a baseball game, you have to outscore the other team. I don’t see the Rangers doing that against anyone right now. Give me Seattle.