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Marlins vs Athletics Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks Today

Athletics (18-16) vs. Miami Marlins (13-19)
May 4, 2025 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +114 / Athletics -135; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Athletics and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Marlins vs Athletics Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Athletics will send out JP Sears for the start here and Sears is 4-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Sears’ second career start against the Marlins. Miami will start Edward Cabrera in this one and Cabrera is 0-1 with a 7.23 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cabrera is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Athletics.


Athletics Recap

The Athletics come into this game looking to bounce back after a 9-6 loss at the hands of the Marlins in Saturday’s matchup to slip to 18-16 on the year. After this series, the Athletics will head home to take on the Seattle Mariners in a division series.

Athletics Looking To Win Rubber Match

Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 41 hits, 6 doubles and a .328 batting average while Tyler Soderstrom has 36 hits with 9 home runs and 24 RBIs this season. Brent Rooker has 34 hits with 9 home runs and 18 RBIs but also has a team-high 39 strikeouts this season while JJ Bleday has 27 hits with 7 doubles and Gio Urshela has 8 doubles. Shea Langeliers has 25 hits with 6 home runs and 15 RBIs while Lawrence Butler’s also chipped in 5 stolen bases and 7 doubles as part of his 31 hits.

Why the Athletics will win

  • The Athletics have won seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Athletics’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of the Athletics’ last three road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Lawrence Butler has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • JJ Bleday has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
  • JP Sears has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Athletics as favorites.
  • JJ Bleday has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • JP Sears has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
  • Jacob Wilson ranks T6th in the league in Hits (41) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will look to add on to their walk-off victory over the Athletics from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 13-19 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will be taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a rematch series at home.

Marlins Snap Six-Game Losing Streak

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 34 hits including 3 doubles and a team-high 7 stolen bases while Graham Pauley has 5 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 31 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 19 RBIs but also leads the Marlins with 31 strikeouts so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Athletics have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Sunday games as favorites.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last seven Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Stowers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.324) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Athletics’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Marlins vs Athletics Prediction

I’m on the Athletics here. JP Sears is still the staff ace for the Athletics as far as I’m concerned, and the Marlins historically have struggled against lefties. Although Miami’s been hitting better this season than expected, the fact is that the Marlins are starting to once again show signs of those struggles. The Marlins walked off the Athletics on Saturday, but I don’t expect the Marlins to have the same kind of luck on Sunday. Give me the Athletics.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Athletics -135

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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