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Marlins vs Braves Prediction 6/21/25 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (34-40) vs. Miami Marlins (30-44)
June 21, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 123 / Atlanta Braves -149; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Braves Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Braves Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 34-40 on the year and play the Mets, Phillies, and Angels next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .245 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 83 hits and 38 RBI, while Matt Olson and Michael Harris II have combined for 134 hits and 90 RBI.

Grant Holmes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-6 with a 3.97 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 30-44 on the year and play the Giants, Diamondbacks, and Twins next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .383 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 67 hits and 15 RBI, while Eric Wagaman and Kyle Stowers have combined for 130 hits and 62 RBI.

Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games following a home win.
  • The Braves have won each of their last seven Saturday day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Marlins.
  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two road games against NL East opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Marlins.

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

We hit on the Marlins yesterday, and I’m going to double-dip in this spot. Perez hasn’t pitched much over the last couple of years, but he’s a talented young arm who can put together a great outing. Perez has high upside and is a pitcher worth watching. The Braves have lost four straight games Holmes has pitched, and he’s allowed eight earned runs in his last 15 innings. In 29.2 road innings, Holmes has a 5.46 ERA. Give me the Marlins and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +123

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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