Marlins vs Braves Prediction 6/22/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 22nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 30-45 this year after they split the first two games with Atlanta by scores of 6-2 and 0-7. In their game two loss, Miami fell behind in the first inning and was never able to get their offense going in the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, Sanchez, and Lopez, who all had one hit and one RBI in the loss. Miami started Perez, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Simpson allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost three out of four against the Phillies, but did sweep the Nationals in three games before that. Miami has lost four of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.93 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 301 runs with a .250 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 3-8 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 68.0 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 35-40 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-0 on Saturday afternoon. Atlanta led 3-0 after the fifth inning and they added an insurance run in the eighth and ninth to seal the win. The Braves recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while De Los Santos, Lee, and Montero finished the shutout. 

Prior to this series, the Braves swept the Mets in three games and won two out of three against the Rockies. Atlanta has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 316 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 60.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Marlins

• The Braves have won each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost eight of their last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Braves’ last five road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in four of the Marlins’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
• Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against the Braves.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Marlins.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Marlins.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Braves’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Marlins vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta was able to pick up a shutout win in game two on Saturday afternoon, as they try to keep pace with the Mets and Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 13-25 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 16-24 at home. Miami has scored two runs or fewer in three of their last four games and they are facing Elder, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Marlins are starting Alcantara, who has some bad numbers on the season, but has pitched much better in his last three starts. I think the pitching matchup is pretty even, so I will back Atlanta, as I trust their offense way more. Take the Braves here.