NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/2/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Kyle Bradish for the start here and Bradish is 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Bradish is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 30 strikeouts. Ryan Weathers will start for the Yankees here and is 1-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Weathers’ first career start against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their 7-2 loss at the hands of the Yankees on Friday to fall to 15-17 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Orioles Lose Back-To-Back Games

Going into Friday, Taylor Ward has 35 hits with 13 doubles and 11 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs and 19 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 23 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 21 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 27 hits with 2 doubles, 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Dylan Beavers also has 18 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to Friday’s win over the Orioles to improve to 21-11 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Texas Rangers in a series at home.

Yankees Win 7 Of Last 10

Entering Friday, Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 32 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 23 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 28 hits with 5 doubles, 12 home runs and 20 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 26 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 22 hits with 5 doubles as well on the year.

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 2, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Weathers      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 3.21
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Orioles: –

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last 12 Saturday games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have won each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 home day games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Saturday games against the Orioles.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 4.20
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Yankees: 1-0

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won eight of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Yankees following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in 16 of their last 19 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the last 12 games between the Orioles and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight day games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.728) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against the Yankees.
• Taylor Ward ranks T5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.426) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (50).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.05).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.267).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (297).

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m backing the Yankees in this one. Ryan Weathers has been a pretty solid addition for the Yankees rotation, and I’m still not sold on this Oriole offense as evidenced by their showing in Friday’s opener. Bradish has been up and down out of the gate this season and I think he’s got enough here to get the win for the Yankees so give me New York here.