Marlins vs Giants Prediction 6/26/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins are visiting the San Francisco Giants on Thursday, June 26^th at the Oracle Park in the third game of this series, with the Marlins having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Giants Prediction. We will examine:

The San Francisco Giants’ recent form and player performance

The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Giants

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants game

San Francisco Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants have a 44-36 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL West. They have a 25-16 home record and are 37-41 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-8 home defeat by the Marlins, and are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Under is 5-3-1 in their last 9 games, and are playing the White Sox and the Diamondbacks next.

The Giants have a .231 batting average this season, a .312 OBP, and a .373 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.  Heliot Ramos leads the Giants with 86 hits and is the team’s best hitter, with a .288 batting average, adding a team-high 13 home runs. Wilmer Flores leads the team in RBI with 54.

Hayden Birdsong (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.25 ERA, and 1.33 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 33-45 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL East. The Marlins have a 16-21 road record and are 38-39 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-5 road victory over the Giants, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games and are playing the Diamondbacks and the Twins next.

The Marlins have a .253 batting average this season, a .315 OBP, and a .385 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.  Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 72 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Kyle Stowers adds team-highs in RBI with 35 and in home runs with 11.

Janson Junk (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 2-0 record, 2.60 ERA, and 1.01 WHIP.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Giants have won 12 of their last 13 day games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven Thursday day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Giants have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Giants have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Giants have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 19 of the Giants’ last 20 games at Oracle Park.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Giants’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the last 17 day games between the Marlins and Giants.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Marlins’ last 12 day games at Oracle Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (62).
• The Giants rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (288).
• The Marlins rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (66).
• The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.85).

Marlins vs Giants Prediction

The Marlins are 3-2 against the Giants this season, and are also 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings and 4-1 this season.

In this Marlins vs Giants Prediction, the Giants are coming as -180 home favorites. The Giants are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record and have been very strong at home, while the Marlins have been below average on the road. The Giants have the best bullpen in the league, and also have a better offense than the Marlins, and are better against righties. Birdsong has been solid for the Giants this season, and even better at home, so I expect the Giants to bounce back in this one.