Marlins vs Mets Prediction 4/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 1st, at LoanDepot Park. Let’s take a look at a Miami Marlins vs New York Mets pick. 

It was a Solid Win for the Mets

The Mets have been somewhat inconsistent to start the season, but on Monday, they secured a 10-4 victory over the Marlins. The Mets finished with 11 hits while the Marlins finished with 10 hits; the biggest difference was the Mets were just able to hit with runners in scoring position. Brandon Nimmo hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Luis Torrens and Starling Marte both hit a home run to pace the offense. David Peerson got the start, and he went six innings, giving up five hits and two runs. On Saturday, the Mets only scored a run against the Astros, and they ended up losing by a run. Overall, the Mets have given up ten runs in the four games. 

Kodai Senega will start for the Mets, making his first start of the season. He made only one appearance last season with New York, finishing with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 3.38. 

It’s a Big Game for the Marlins 

It’s early in the season, but winning these types of games can give this team a ton of confidence moving forward. The Marlins’ pitching was a major issue on Monday, and they are going to need the pitching to be a be hell of a lot better here. Cal Quantrill went four innings, giving up eight hits and six earned runs. George Soriano went two innings, giving up three hits and four runs. Otto Lopez hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. The Marlins actually jumped out to a lead, but as the game went on, they couldn’t get it going. 

Otto Lopez has hit two home runs and driven in six RBIs. The Marlins’ starting pitcher will be Sandy Alcantara, who has a 0-0 record and an ERA of 3.86. On the 27th, he pitched 4.2 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two hits and two runs.

Why the Marlins Will Beat the Mets

• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Mets following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against the Marlins following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight Tuesday games against NL East opponents.

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

Please give me the value with the Marlins here. The Marlins have been decent to start the season, and don’t be fooled by the loss on Monday; there is still a ton of value here. Alcantara sits with an ERA of 3.86, and although he wasn’t dominant against the Pirates, he wasn’t awful, and he’s going to be stronger here. There hasn’t been a ton of MLB starts in his last couple of years for Senega, and the nerves are going to be there. The Marlins are going to score enough runs here to come out on top. It might only take four runs, but that will be enough with Alcantara stepping up. Back the Marlins on the money line.