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Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 6/3/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (28-34) vs. Washington Nationals (31-31)
June 3, 2026 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -110 / Miami Marlins -110; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 3rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 31-31 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 12-19 home record and are coming off a 3-7 home defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Diamondbacks and the Giants next.

The Nationals have a .245 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .417 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 47. James Wood adds a team-high 16 home runs.

Andrew Alvarez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 1-0 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 28-34 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 10-19 road record and are coming off a 7-3 road win against the Nationals. They will face the Rays and the Diamondbacks next.

The Marlins have a .243 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .335 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 12 home runs.

Max Meyer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 5-0 record, 2.97 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: June 3, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Alvarez      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 4.02
  • Home Record: 1-0
  • Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Nationals have won each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last 10 games following a road win.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games following a road win.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Nationals Park.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Wednesday day games against the Marlins.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer      Record this season: 5-0      ERA: 2.97
  • Road Record: 1-0
  • Last 5 against Nationals: 0-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won 10 of their last 11 day games at Nationals Park following a win.
  • The Nationals have lost nine of their last 10 day games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against the Nationals following a win.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against the Marlins at Nationals Park following a loss.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last four day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eleven of the Marlins’ last 13 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven day games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Max Meyer’s last eight road appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Jacob Young has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Marlins.
  • Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven games against the Nationals.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in five of his last six appearances against the Nationals.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (80) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (330).
  • The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (89).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (70).
  • The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (12).

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction

The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Nationals but both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.

In this Marlins vs Nationals Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Marlins have dominated both games in this series with a combined 14-6 score and have the pitching edge today as Max Meyer goes up against Andrew Alvarez. Meyers’ two of his last three starts were shutouts and the Marlins have a superior bullpen to back him up, so I like them to keep rolling and finish the series sweep in this matchup today.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Miami Marlins ML

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