Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 28-42 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 5-2. Miami tied the game at one in the second inning and cut the deficit to 3-2 in the eighth, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez and Norby, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Gibson allowed two hits and two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins swept the Nationals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. Miami has won three of their last four games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.03 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 284 runs with a .251 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 10 home runs and 22 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-7 with a 5.61 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 59.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 43-29 this season after they won game one in this series on Monday night. Philadelphia led 3-1 in the seventh inning and they added two more in the ninth to pull away in the win. The Phillies recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Turner and Bohm, who both had two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Abel, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Kerkering picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Blue Jays in three games and won two out of three against the Cubs. Philadelphia has won five games in a row and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 339 runs with a .257 batting average and a .332 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 6-2 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Phillies have won each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against the Marlins.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 14 night games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Phillies and Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Tuesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 15 games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last four road appearances against the Marlins.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against the Marlins.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia rolls into this contest after picking up a win in game one of this series and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Phillies are 19-16 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 14-21 at home. Miami has played pretty well over the last two weeks and their pitching staff has shown a little improvement. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Phillies are going with Luzardo, who has allowed 1, 8, 12, 3, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. I don’t love how Luzardo has pitched recently, but this Phillies team is rolling right now. Take Philadelphia to win by at least two runs.