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Marlins vs Pirates Prediction 3/29/25 MLB Picks Today

Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) vs. Miami Marlins (1-1)
March 29, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 105 / Pittsburgh Pirates -125; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action at the loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates play the Rays, Yankees, and Cardinals next. The Pirates bounced back on Friday with a 4-3 win and now look to get a game above a .500 record. The Pirates have to feel like they let Thursday’s game off the hook, and they probably should be 2-0 in the season. If the Pirates are going to be a surprise team in the NL Central, they must take advantage of games against poor teams like this. Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with two hits and two RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for three hits.



Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Pirates, and he was 8-9 with a 4.43 ERA and 97 strikeouts last season. Falter is 3-0 with a 4.30 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins play the Mets, Braves, and Nationals next. The Marlins couldn’t find their offense on Friday night and dropped their first game of the season. The Marlins lack the talent to compete on paper, but they have to be pleased with their first two games. The Marlins have gotten good production from their pitching staff and have shown a fighting spirit. We’ll see how long it lasts. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 2 hits and 1 RBI, while Graham Pauley and Derek Hill have combined for 4 hits and 1 RBI.

Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Marlins, and he was 3-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 44 strikeouts last season. This will be Bellozo’s second career against the Pirates.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Pirates have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games against the Pirates at LoanDepot Park.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a win.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against the Pirates following a loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against the Marlins following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a loss.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction

The first two games between the Pirates and Marlins could’ve gone either way. The bottom line is that the Pirates and Marlins are two of the worst teams in baseball on paper, and I’m not excited to back either team in the favorite role. Valente Bellozo was sharper than Bailey Falter last season, for what that’s worth, and that could be a deciding factor with both lineups being underwhelming. The Marlins won’t have much betting value this season, but this is a rare spot, at home against a poor team. I’ll take a shot with the Marlins and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +105

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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