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Marlins vs Twins Prediction 7/1/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (40-44) vs. Miami Marlins (37-45)
July 1, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 123 / Minnesota Twins -149; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins meet Tuesday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Twins Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 40-44 on the year and play the Rays, Cubs, and Pirates next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .241 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 78 hits and 42 RBI, while Trevor Larnach and Byron Buxton have combined for 146 hits and 90 RBI.

Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 8-3 with a 2.86 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Ryan’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 37-45 on the year and play the Brewers, Reds, and Orioles next. The Miami Marlins are batting .254 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .390 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 75 hits and 19 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Eric Wagaman have combined for 147 hits and 76 RBI.

Edward Cabrera gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Twins.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against National League opponents.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
  • The road team has won each of the Marlins’ last six games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games following a win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one Double in three of the Marlins’ last four night games.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four road games against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of his last four road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Ryan ranks T5th in the league for Wins (8) this season.

Marlins vs Twins Prediction

The Twins probably should be the pick with Ryan on the mound, as he’s an all-star caliber pitcher with his 2.86 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. The problem is we’re getting plus money with a Marlins team that’s won seven straight games. This is a young Marlins team rolling with confidence, and it seems to have a carry-over effect.

Also, Cabrera is a young, talented pitcher who is coming into his own, which includes allowing 13 hits and six earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Cabrera has allowed six earned runs in his last 24.1 innings and has 26 strikeouts in those frames. There should be a decent showing from the crowd, given the winning streak. I’ll take a shot with the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +123

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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