Mets vs Brewers Prediction 7/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1st at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 48-37 this year after they lost all three against Pittsburgh by scores of 1-9, 2-9, and 1-12. In their game three loss, New York cut the deficit to 6-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find any more offense in the blowout loss. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torrens, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Montas, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while three relievers also allowed two earned runs each. 

Prior to that series, the Mets split four games with the Braves and lost two out of three against the Phillies. New York has lost six of their last eight games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 368 runs with a .245 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 20 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 8-4 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-37 this season after they won two out of three against Colorado by scores of 10-6, 5-0, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Milwaukee led 2-0 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t hold the lead and ended up losing in the 11th. The Brewers recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Frelick and Yelich, who both had one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Patrick, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Megill blew the save and Anderson picked up the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Twins. Milwaukee has won eight of its last ten games, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 397 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 13 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 8-4 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 93.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Brewers

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last five games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven home games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against the Mets.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.

Mets vs Brewers Prediction 

New York stumbles into this series after a very embarrassing effort against the Pirates over the weekend, but they will look to bounce back at home here. The Brewers are 20-20 on the road this year, while the Mets are 29-12 at home. Milwaukee has won eight of its last ten games, and they are starting Peralta, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. New York is going with Holmes, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four outings. The Mets are obviously in a tough spot right now, but they have played well at home, and I think they will show some pride here. Take the Mets to win.