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Mets vs Angels Prediction 7/22/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Angels (49-51) vs. NY Mets (57-44)
July 22, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -176 / LA Angels 144; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Angels prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 22nd at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 57-44 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-5 to start this series. New York trailed 5-2 in the seventh inning, but they tied the game in the bottom of the seventh and took the lead in the eighth for the victory. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baty and Soto, who both had two RBIs in the win. New York started Senga, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Devenski allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. New York has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 442 runs with a .242 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 21 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 24 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Frankie Montas, who is 2-1 with a 5.03 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 19.2 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 49-51 this season after they blew a big lead in game one for the loss. Los Angeles led 4-0 in the third and 5-2 in the seventh, but the bullpen fell apart for the crushing loss. The Angels recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ward, who went 2-5 with three RBIs in the loss. LA started Anderson, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Fermin picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Angels won two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 442 runs with a .235 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. Taylor Ward has led LA with 23 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Jo Adell has added 21 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Kyle Hendricks, who is 5-6 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Angels

  • The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games at Citi Field following a win.
  • The Angels have lost five of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Angels have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Tuesday home games.

Why the Angels will beat the Mets

  • The Angels have won each of their last nine night games following a loss.
  • The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Tuesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against the Mets.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last nine home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Angels’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Angels’ last nine night games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brett Baty has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Frankie Montas has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Frankie Montas has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Starling Marte has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Jo Adell has hit a home run in three of the Angels’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in 13 of his 15 previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one Double in each of the Angels’ last three road games against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Angels Prediction 

New York was fortunate to get a big comeback win on Monday night to open this series, as they continue to try and overtake the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets are 35-16 at home this year, while the Angels are 25-28 on the road. Los Angeles has been playing in higher scoring games recently, as they have gone over 9.5 runs in four straight. The Angels are starting Hendricks, who has allowed seven earned runs and 10 hits in his last 9.0 innings. The Mets are starting Montas, who has allowed 1, 4, 6, and 0 earned runs in his last four outings. I don’t love the pitching matchup in this game and I think LA will be involved in another high scoring affair. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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