Mets vs Athletics Prediction 4/10/26 MLB Picks Today
Athletics (5-7) vs. NY Mets (7-6)
April 10, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -156 / Athletics 129; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Athletics prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 10th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 7-6 this season after they lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks by scores of 4-3, 2-7, and 1-7. In their game three loss, New York led 1-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings in the defeat. The Mets recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Robert Jr, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. McLean allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Weaver allowed two earned runs and Garcia allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, New York won three out of four against the Giants, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that.
This season, New York has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 56 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Luis Robert has led the Mets with two home runs and seven RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched this season.
Athletics Betting Preview
The Athletics are 5-7 this year after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 3-5, 3-2, and 1-0. In their game three win, the Athletics scored the only run of the game in the seventh inning for the very low scoring victory. The A’s recorded eight hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Soderstrom, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the game. Springs allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Harris picked up the save. Prior to that series, the Athletics won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, the Athletics have a 4.75 ERA with a 1.60 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 47 runs with a .227 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Shea Langeliers has led the Athletics with five home runs and eight RBIs, while Brent Rooker has added two home runs and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for the Athletics is JT Ginn, who is 0-0 with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Athletics have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have won each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
- The Athletics have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Athletics will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won five of the Athletics’ last six games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last six games.
- The Athletics have won the first inning in five of their last six night games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets at Citi Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Athletics’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Athletics and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven night games at Citi Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Athletics’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Shea Langeliers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Athletics as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (7).
- The Mets rank T4th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (72).
- The Athletics rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (129).
Mets vs Athletics Prediction
The Athletics come into this series after an impressive series win over the Yankees, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The A’s are 3-6 on the road this year, while the Mets are 3-3 at home. New York has lost two in a row and they allowed seven runs in each of those losses. The Mets are starting Holmes, who has been solid so far this year, while Ginn should only pitch a few innings. I like the A’s lineup, but they aren’t hitting right now, so give me the Mets -1.5 here.