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Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/4/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (5-2) vs. NY Mets (3-3)
April 4, 2025 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -130 / Toronto Blue Jays +110; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Kevin Gausman here and Gausman is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career against the Mets, Gausman is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 20 strikeouts. Tylor Megill will get the start for the Mets and is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his career, Megill is 1-0 with a 0.52 ERA and 19 strikeouts against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this series looking to stay hot after completing the sweep of the Washington Nationals to start the week thanks to a 4-2 win over the Nats to improve to 5-2 on the year. Following this series, the Blue Jays will head to Fenway for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Blue Jays Win 4th In A Row

George Springer and Bo Bichette each have 9 hits with a pair of doubles, with Springer logging a home run and 5 RBIs while Bichette has 3 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 8 hits with a pair of doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 6 RBIs this season while Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. share the team lead with 8 strikeouts so far this season. Springer also has a .429 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last four road openers as underdogs.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last five games following a win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road openers as underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two road openers as underdogs.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in road openers.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in day games.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
  • Myles Straw has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
  • George Springer ranks T3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.429) this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their series win over the Marlins thanks to a 6-5 win in extra innings on Wednesday to improve to 3-3 on the year. After this series, the Mets will welcome the Marlins to town for a rematch.

Mets Looking For Consistency After Alternating Wins And Losses In First 6 Games Of The Year

Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo share the team lead with 6 hits and 2 home runs this season, with Alonso boasting a pair of doubles and a team-high 8 RBIs. Luis Torrens and Mark Vientos each have a pair of doubles as well while Alonso has a team-best .286 batting average as well on the year.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games following a win.
  • The Mets have won eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Starling Marte has recorded a hit in each of his last eight home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Starling Marte has recorded a Single in each of his last eight home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Tylor Megill ranks T5th in the league for Wins (1) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Mets’ last 11 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I think the Blue Jays have a lot of momentum and figured out a lot of issues in that series sweep over the Nationals to give this team some confidence, especially with the bullpen being able to close out games. The Mets have just been so inconsistent offensively, and I’m not much of a Tylor Megill fan if I’m being honest. The Blue Jays are hitting right-handed pitchers a lot better right now, and I think the Jays get it done in this game. Give me Toronto here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +110

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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