Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 5th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 4-3 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 5-0 on Friday. New York jumped out in front with two runs in the first inning and they added three more in the sixth in the shutout win. The Mets recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. New York started Megill, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings in the win, while Garrett, Minter, and Kranick combined for 3.2 shutout innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Marlins, but lost two out of three against the Astros to open the season. The New York pitching staff has a 2.03 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and a .198 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 28 runs with a .184 batting average and a .273 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with three home runs and 10 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added two home runs and four RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Griffin Canning, who is 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-3 this season after they lost the first game in this series in shutout fashion. Toronto allowed two runs in the first and three runs in the sixth, and they were unable to score any runs in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Guerrero and Springer, who both had two hits in the loss. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed two hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings in the loss, while Fluharty allowed two earned runs and two hits without recording an out in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Nationals in three games and split four games with the Orioles to open the campaign. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 32 runs with a .268 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Andres Gimenez has led Toronto with three home runs and six RBIs, while George Springer has added one home run and five RBIs on the year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last 16 Saturday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Saturday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Griffin Canning has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents .
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games against AL East opponents at Citi Field.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances in night games.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 17 night games.
• Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games.

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction 

New York was able to get the shutout win in game one of this series and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games. Toronto had their winning streak snapped on Friday, but they have scored at least four runs in three of their last four. I think the Blue Jays have a pretty sizable advantage on the mound with Bassitt starting, as I am not a big fan of Griffin Canning for the Mets. I think we could see a decent amount of scoring in this game, but I like the Blue Jays to get the win behind a strong outing from Bassitt.