Mets vs Brewers Prediction 8/25/26 MLB Picks Today

The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-50 on the year and play the Rangers and Cubs next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .254 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and have a .396 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 124 hits and 65 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio have combined for 234 hits and 125 RBI.

Kyle Harrison gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 10-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. This will be Harrison’s second career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 59-72 on the year and play the Astros and Rays next. The New York Mets are batting .236 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 137 hits and 66 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 215 hits and 97 RBI.

Zac Thornton gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-4 with a 3.04 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Thornton’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the Brewers’ last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Brewers at Citi Field.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL opponents.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Mets’ last 12 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Brewers’ last 11 games as favorites against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Zach Thornton’s five previous home appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in seven of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Harrison has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Harrison has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jake Bauers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (165).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
• The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (120).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).

Mets vs Brewers Prediction

Thornton has actually been solid for the Mets through 50.1 innings, but I haven’t been in the business of backing this team all season. They don’t turn a profit, and they’re an underachiever. The Brewers are one of the most consistent teams in baseball, and Harrison has been impressive with a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through 98.1 innings. The price isn’t too crazy. Give me the Brewers.