Mets vs Dodgers Prediction 5/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 23, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers (31-19, 12-11 Away) snapped a four-game losing skid (their longest of the season) with a pair of wins over the Arizona Diamondbacks. After being swept by the Angels, the Dodgers lost the series’ opening game against Arizona, but won the next two. In the most recent 3-1 victory, Teoscar Hernandez drove in all three runs with a three-run homer, while Dustin May got the win after allowing one run on five hits with eight strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings.

This year, the Dodgers average 5.68 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .263/.343/.471 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.16 ERA (17th) and 1.29 WHIP (18th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .307 batting average, ten home runs, and 38 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers is Clayton Kershaw, who is 0-0 in one start this season, with an 11.25 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 4.0 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (30-20, 17-5 Home) lost the last two series to the Yankees and Red Sox, but at least they managed to avoid being swept by Boston with a 5-1 win in Game 3. Brett Baty led the team with three RBI, while Tylor Megill pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on four hits with ten strikeouts and one walk. Huascar Brazoban was credited with the win.

This season, the Mets average 4.36 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .246/.328/.408 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.82 ERA (1st) and 1.25 WHIP (15th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .292 batting average, nine home runs, and 37 RBI this season.

Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Mets on Friday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 5-1 record in nine starts this year with a 2.47 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 47.1 innings.

Why the Mets will beat the Dodgers

• The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last three games.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 games as favorites against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Dodgers and Mets.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Dodgers’ last 16 night games against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (162).
• The Mets rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (454).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (81).

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. We all know who Clayton Kershaw is, but after returning from a lengthy injury, he is rusty and needs time to return to his usual self. Kershaw struggled in his first start against the Diamondbacks, allowing five runs in 4.0 innings. I expect a similar scenario on Friday. Griffin Canning, on the other hand, is having the season of his career. He allowed just six runs in his last six starts, and surrendered more than two runs in a game only once this year. I am going with the Mets.