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Mets vs Giants Prediction 8/2/25 MLB Picks Today

San Francisco Giants (55-55) vs. NY Mets (62-48)
August 2, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -210 / San Francisco Giants +176; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 2nd at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 62-48 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 4-3 on Friday. New York erased a 3-0 deficit late in the game, but failed to score in the 10th for the loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alonso, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. New York started Peterson, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Diaz picked up the loss in extras. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost all three games against the Padres, but did sweep the Giants in three games before that. New York has lost four games in a row, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 476 runs with a .240 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 23 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 25 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-3 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this year. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 55-55 this season after they won in extra innings on Friday night. San Francisco led 3-0 in the seventh inning, but they needed a run in the 10th to escape with the win. The Giants recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Bailey, Lee, Schmitt, and Smith, who all had one RBI in the win. SF started Ray, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Walker got the win and Rodriguez picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Giants lost all three games against the Pirates and all three games against the Mets. San Francisco has lost six of their last seven games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 447 runs with a .232 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 12 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 16 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kai-Wei Teng, who is making his first appearance for the Giants this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Giants

  • The Mets have won each of their last seven games at Citi Field after going to extra innings.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games after going to extra innings.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games at Citi Field against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last six home games following an extra-innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Giants’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six day games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight day games against NL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Giants.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 14 Saturday games.
  • Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Giants after playing the previous day.
  • Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Kodai Senga has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded a Double in four of the Giants’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last seven road games against NL opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has hit at least one home run in three of the Giants’ last four day games.

Mets vs Giants Prediction 

New York wasn’t able to steal the victory in game one of this series on Friday night, and they will look to snap their losing streak here. The Mets are 37-17 at home this season, while the Giants are 27-29 on the road. San Francisco has lost six of their last seven games, and they are starting Teng, who I don’t expect to go very deep into the game. The Mets are starting Senga, who has allowed 3, 4, 0, 0, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Take the Mets -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mets -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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