Mets vs Giants Prediction 9/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Giants Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Giants Pick.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 58-84 on the year and play the Cardinals and Padres next. The San Francisco Giants are batting .248 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .406 slugging percentage. The San Francisco Giants’ pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Jung Hoo Lee leads the San Francisco Giants with 138 hits and 51 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Willy Adames have combined for 243 hits and 139 RBI.

Anthony Molina gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 2-0 with a 3.77 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Molina is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-77 on the year and play the Yankees and Marlins next. The New York Mets are batting .236 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 146 hits and 68 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 234 hits and 98 RBI.

Zac Thornton gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Thornton’s first career game against the San Francisco Giants.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have lost each of their last seven day games following a road loss.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Giants following a win.
• The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Giants.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Giants have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Giants have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL opponents following a road loss.
• The Giants have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Giants’ last five games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Giants and Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Giants’ last eight games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 day games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in seven of the Giants’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Drew Gilbert has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (179).
• The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (389).
• The Giants rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (130).

Mets vs Giants Prediction

The Mets have the edge with Thornton on the mound as he’s been great through 61.1 innings with a 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. The problem is this is a steep price with the Mets. You want to lay near -200 with the Mets? It’s the Mets. The Mets suck. Sure, the Giants aren’t much better, but we’re getting 1.5 times our money with a team that stinks. At this stage of the season, if I’m going to back either of these clubs, I need bang for my buck. It’s Giants or pass at this price point.