Mets vs Marlins Prediction 8/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 62-71 on the year and play the Nationals, Phillies, and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .249 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 137 hits and 34 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 217 hits and 132 RBI.

Adam Mazur gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Mazur’s second career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 72-61 on the year and play the Tigers, Reds, and Phillies next. The New York Mets are batting .249 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 142 hits and 73 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 255 hits and 177 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 11-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight Thursday night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won six of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against the Marlins.
• Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his eight previous appearances at Citi Field.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 30 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins haven’t been the same team since sweeping the Yankees, and now they’re on the road with a pitcher who has just 5.2 innings under his belt this season. It’s tough to side with the Marlins and Mazur. The Mets are coming off a sweep of the Phillies and have to feel good entering this spot. Holmes has a 3.60 ERA and 1.32 WHIP on the season, and he has a 3.84 ERA and .217 allowed batting average in 70.1 home innings. The Mets can’t afford to blow games like this if they’re serious about making the playoffs. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.