Mets vs Nationals Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mets vs Nationals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will send out Jake Irvin for the start here, and Irvin is 5-2 with a 4.02 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Irvin is 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 25 strikeouts. David Peterson will get the start for the Mets and is 4-2 with a 2.80 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Peterson is 2-1 with a 3.99 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Mets in Tuesday’s series opener to drop to 30-36 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Nationals Lose Third In A Row

Keibert Ruiz has 53 hits with 10 doubles and a pair of home runs with 22 RBIs, while James Wood has 66 hits with 16 doubles and a team-high 16 home runs, along with 45 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while also putting up 78 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 57 hits with 11 doubles and 40 RBIs, along with 8 home runs and 72 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 8 home runs and 20 RBIs, along with 12 doubles and 11 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 14 doubles and 7 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a road loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last three Wednesday games as home favorites.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL opponents.
• James Wood ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their win over the Nationals to sit at 43-24 on the year. After this series, the Mets will take on the Tampa Bay Rays at home in an interleague series.

Mets Win Four In A Row

Pete Alonso has 75 hits with 20 doubles, 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, and a .301 batting average, while Juan Soto has 57 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs, and 31 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 73 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 11 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 53 hits with 12 doubles and 10 home runs, and 34 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three games as home favorites.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last six home games against NL opponents.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last four home games against the Nationals.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last six home games against the Nationals.
• Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.589) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Mets’ last 11 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. I get the case to be made for the Nationals, who are a profitable underdog, but the thing here is that Jake Irvin had some issues on the road. The Mets are beating on righties in a lot of their recent ABs. I think this is a smash spot for the Mets, so I’ll roll with Washington here.