Mets vs Phillies Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 23rd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 17-7 this year after they won games one and two by scores of 5-4 and 5-1. In their game two win, the Mets were tied at one in the second inning, but they scored the last four runs in the game for the win. New York recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Torrens, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Canning, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Brazoban and Minter picked up holds out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won all four games against the Cardinals, but did lose two out of three against the Twins before that. New York has won six games in a row and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.37 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .214 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 101 runs with a .233 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with six home runs and 25 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added four home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-11 this season after they lost game two by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday night. Philadelphia was able to get a run in the second inning to tie the game, but they had zero offense after that in the loss. The Phillies recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rojas, who had the lone RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed four hits and two earned runs in the loss, while Kerkering allowed two hits and two earned runs in just 0.1 innings of relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Marlins and split four games with the Giants. Philadelphia has lost three games in a row and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 108 runs with a .250 batting average and a .340 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with seven home runs and 16 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added five home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 2-1 with a 3.73 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Phillies

• The home team has won each of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Phillies’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Phillies’ last seven games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets’ last five Wednesday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games against the Phillies at Citi Field.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Mets’ last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six day games.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this contest looking to avoid being swept, but they are just 4-7 on the road this year. New York has won six games in a row and they are 11-1 at home so far this year. The Mets have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games, but they will go against Wheeler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his five starts. New York is starting David Peterson, who has been very good through four starts this year. Philadelphia does have the advantage on the mound, but New York’s offense is red hot right now and they have been elite at home. Take the Mets to win.