Mets vs Phillies Prediction 8/25/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-54 on the year and play the Braves, Brewers, and Marlins next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .257 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 160 hits and 61 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 244 hits and 170 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 11-4 with a 2.46 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-61 on the year and play the Marlins, Tigers, and Reds next. The New York Mets are batting .246 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 38 hits and 72 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 244 hits and 171 RBI.

Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-5 with a 2.58 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Senga is 1-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Mets’ last nine games at Citi Field.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday road games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kodai Senga has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 games.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four night games.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (160) this season.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are racking up the wins, and they should like their chances here. Sanchez has been great this season, and that includes allowing 24 hits and six earned runs in his last 26.1 innings. Senga has been solid in his own right, but he’s allowed 18 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 19 innings. The Mets also continue to find weird ways to lose, and it has to be frustrating for MLB bettors. The Mets are pure comedy at this point. Give me the Phillies behind their ace.