Mets vs Reds Prediction 5/27/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 27th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 22-33 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-7 and 2-7. In game two, New York allowed the first six runs and never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Mets recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Soto, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Peterson allowed 11 hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Manaea allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Marlins and split four games with the Nationals. 

This season, New York has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 210 runs with a .226 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Huascar Brazoban, who is 3-1 with a 1.73 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 26.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-25 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-2 on Tuesday. Cincinnati scored two runs in the first inning and they ran away with the game, but did allow two runs in the sixth to lose the shutout. The Reds recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Burns allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Moll threw 1.2 innings of relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati split two games with the Cardinals and won two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 243 runs with a .230 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 4-2 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won four of their last five night games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Reds have lost five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Wednesday night road games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Reds’ last 11 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Huascar Brazoban’s six previous appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last eight Wednesday games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last four night games.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Mets.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 18 games as road underdogs.
• Sal Stewart is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.349).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.292).
• The Reds rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (246).
• The Reds rank T27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (74).

Mets vs Reds Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after picking up another loss on Tuesday and they are really struggling right now. The Mets are 11-15 at home this year, while the Reds are 15-13 on the road. Cincinnati has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least seven runs in four of their last five. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts, while the Mets are going with an opener. We can’t back New York with how they are playing, so give me the Reds here.